中國銀行研究院10月8日發布的《2023年四季度經濟金融展望報告》預計，今年四季度中國國內生產總值增長5.7%左右，全年增長5.2%左右，經濟增長企穩回升態勢顯現。

 

 

BOC Research Institute, the research unit of Bank of China, predicted that the Chinese economy will grow about 5.7 percent year-on-year in the fourth quarter to achieve yearly growth of around 5.2 percent this year, above the official annual growth target of 5 percent.

中國銀行研究院發布的報告預計，今年四季度中國經濟將同比增長5.7%左右，全年增長5.2%左右，超過官方預期的5%的全年增長目標。

 

The services consumption potential will continue to be unleashed, infrastructure investment is expected to accelerate, and high-tech and private manufacturing investment will also grow to enhance manufacturing investment, the 2023 Q4 Economic and Financial Outlook released by the institute on Sunday said.

中國銀行研究院10月8日發布的《2023年四季度經濟金融展望報告》指出，服務消費潛力將持續釋放，基建投資有望提速，高技術制造業和民間制造業也有望支撐制造業投資平穩增長。

 

That means the endogenous growth momentum of the Chinese economy will gain more steam, it added.

報告稱，這意味著中國經濟內生增長動力有所改善。

 

The report predicted that consumption would grow 10 percent and 7.8 percent on a yearly basis respectively in the fourth quarter and in 2023.

報告預計2023年四季度消費同比增長10%左右，全年增長7.8%左右。

 

In the investment sector, accelerated growth in infrastructure investment and stable growth in manufacturing investment will jointly lead to small-scale growth in overall investment in the coming quarter.

報告稱，在投資方面，基建投資提速、制造業投資穩定增長，有望在四季度帶動投資小幅回升。

 

However, weak external demand and remaining profitability pressure in conjunction with the ongoing inventory destocking cycle will somehow impact the willingness and capability of market entities to expand investment in manufacturing. Besides, uncertainties remain in real estate market recovery although recently released policies are expected to help stabilize real estate sales to some extent, the report said.

不過，報告也指出，外需承壓、企業利潤下滑疊加去庫存周期尚未結束，這仍將制約制造業整體投資意愿和能力。此外，房地產市場復蘇仍存不確定性，盡管最近出臺的政策有望在一定程度上助推房地產銷售企穩。

 

The report suggested that the authorities should further guide and enhance market confidence through more effort in strengthening communication with market entities when adjusting and introducing policies, continuously improving business environment and defusing risks in key areas.

報告指出，政府部門應該在政策調整、實施等過程中加強與市場溝通，持續優化營商環境，穩定市場主體信心和預期，做好重點領域風險化解工作。

 

The report also suggested China give full play to the enormous domestic market to keep expanding effective demand, stimulate the vitality of private capital, and promote industrial transformation and upgrades.

報告還建議，中國應發揮好國內超大規模市場作用，持續擴大有效需求，激發社會資本活力，推動產業轉型升級。

 

Fiscal policies should become more proactive and effective, playing a bigger role in stabilizing growth while expanding demand, while also paying attention to preventing risks, the report said.

報告表示，財政政策需要持續加力提效，在穩增長、擴需求方面擔當更重要的角色，同時注意防范風險。

 

英文來源：中國日報網

翻譯&編輯：丹妮

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